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Red86
464318.0
325729.0
517135.1
Blue148
97237.2
167148.0
527420.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9484406010012014086148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+62
Endgame+62
Fouls+62
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave9
2Coral scored#4
10Coral points21
16Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +48
13Coral scored#21
46Coral points74
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#6
6Processor points6
4Net points24
10Algae points30
56Total teleop104
Reef
5L4#8
3L3#8
4L2#6
3L1 · trough#3
17Game pieces#32
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +62
0Foul points0
86Total score148

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5171
#14
35.10.1
31.031.1
Auto8.2
Teleop19.1
End7.8
blue by 12.9
1671
#10
48.04.6
38.342.9
Auto11.6
Teleop29.8
End6.6
Second
3257
#22
29.00.1
31.131.2
Auto3.0
Teleop22.9
End3.1
blue by 8.1
972
#21
37.24.6
26.631.2
Auto8.1
Teleop21.8
End7.2
Third
4643
#27
18.00.1
23.023.1
Auto5.8
Teleop10.9
End1.3
blue by 1.9
5274
#31
20.04.6
14.519.1
Auto4.5
Teleop15.6
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsEarned56%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsEarned60%Barge oddsEarned