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Red121
549933.6
715741.2
220434.8
Blue51
19917.1
70124.0
666221.2
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1166305010015012151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+54Teleop
+70Endgame
+70Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
3Leave3
5Coral scored#1
27Coral points6
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +33
14Coral scored#8
49Coral points28
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
6Processor points6
20Net points8
26Algae points14
75Total teleop42
Reef
7L4#4
6L3#2
3L2#1
3L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#12
BargeRed +16
16Cage & park0
16Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +70
0Foul points0
121Total score51

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7157
#17
41.21.5
40.942.3
Auto9.4
Teleop27.0
End4.9
red by 17.2
701
#26
24.01.2
27.226.0
Auto2.8
Teleop18.9
End2.3
Second
2204
#16
34.82.4
26.929.3
Auto10.3
Teleop21.4
End3.1
red by 13.6
6662
#29
21.21.2
16.215.0
Auto3.0
Teleop17.6
End0.6
Third
33.62.4
31.433.8
Auto7.1
Teleop23.6
End2.9
red by 16.5
199
#34
17.11.2
18.717.4
Auto4.1
Teleop12.2
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned36%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
50%Barge oddsEarned21%Barge oddsMissed