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Red87
213539.5
517135.1
752819.2
Blue121
1021219.0
348239.8
666533.8
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions988605015020087121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+20
Endgame+22
Fouls+34
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave9
4Coral scored#3
21Coral points15
27Total auto24
TeleoperatedBlue +23
8Coral scored#11
28Coral points39
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#3
6Processor points18
12Net points12
18Algae points30
46Total teleop69
Reef
3L4#7
4L3#3
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +34
0Foul points12
87Total score121

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.50.0
33.433.4
Auto13.5
Teleop24.4
End1.6
blue by 0.4
3482
#24
39.82.1
31.333.4
Auto8.7
Teleop30.5
End0.6
Second
5171
#14
35.10.0
31.131.1
Auto8.2
Teleop19.1
End7.8
red by 1.3
33.82.1
27.329.4
Auto5.1
Teleop18.7
End9.9
Third
7528
#33
19.20.0
22.322.3
Auto3.6
Teleop13.2
End2.4
red by 0.2
19.02.1
19.221.3
Auto4.4
Teleop13.5
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsEarned56%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsEarned54%Barge oddsEarned