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Red101
452264.5
469841.2
911420.1
Blue76
698119.7
940028.0
545828.7
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions121725010015010176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+9Teleop
+25Endgame
+25Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave3
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points6
19Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +1
12Coral scored#9
44Coral points33
1Processor algae#3
4Net algae#4
6Processor points18
16Net points16
22Algae points34
66Total teleop67
Reef
6L4#5
3L3#2
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#17
BargeRed +16
16Cage & park0
16Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +25
0Foul points0
101Total score76

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.50.7
56.055.3
Auto13.2
Teleop48.0
End3.4
red by 35.8
5458
#20
28.70.0
26.726.7
Auto3.8
Teleop22.4
End2.5
Second
41.21.2
36.635.4
Auto12.7
Teleop23.3
End5.2
red by 13.2
9400
#25
28.00.0
24.724.7
Auto2.6
Teleop23.9
End1.5
Third
9114
#19
20.10.7
16.415.7
Auto4.2
Teleop14.9
End1.0
red by 0.4
6981
#23
19.70.0
21.421.4
Auto3.7
Teleop15.0
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned45%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsMissed