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Red105
876832.0
167148.0
359837.7
Blue109
464318.0
541949.1
220434.8
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1201036080140160180105109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+2
Endgame+4
Fouls+4
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave3
2Coral scored#5
10Coral points27
16Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +12
13Coral scored#11
47Coral points39
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
12Processor points12
16Net points12
28Algae points24
75Total teleop63
Reef
6L4#4
4L3#6
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
0Foul points0
105Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1671
#10
48.00.3
42.942.6
Auto11.6
Teleop29.8
End6.6
blue by 1.1
5419
#15
49.10.8
44.345.1
Auto7.3
Teleop35.4
End6.4
Second
3598
#18
37.70.3
39.739.5
Auto8.8
Teleop23.6
End5.3
red by 2.9
2204
#16
34.81.3
29.330.6
Auto10.3
Teleop21.4
End3.1
Third
8768
#12
32.00.3
26.225.9
Auto6.0
Teleop24.1
End1.9
red by 14.0
4643
#27
18.01.4
23.124.5
Auto5.8
Teleop10.9
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned71%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
78%Barge oddsEarned37%Barge oddsEarned