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Red60
413523.1
70124.0
549933.6
Blue122
97237.2
318932.5
1021219.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions948840608010012014016060122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+52
Endgame+62
Fouls+62
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave0
1Coral scored#4
6Coral points20
6Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +38
10Coral scored#19
36Coral points70
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
50Total teleop88
Reef
2L4#9
4L3#5
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#4
14Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +62
0Foul points0
60Total score122

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.62.6
33.831.3
Auto7.1
Teleop23.6
End2.9
blue by 3.5
972
#21
37.22.6
32.935.5
Auto8.1
Teleop21.8
End7.2
Second
701
#26
24.02.6
26.023.4
Auto2.8
Teleop18.9
End2.3
blue by 8.5
32.52.6
28.731.3
Auto5.9
Teleop23.9
End2.6
Third
4135
#30
23.12.6
25.022.4
Auto4.4
Teleop18.5
End0.2
red by 4.0
19.04.0
21.325.4
Auto4.4
Teleop13.5
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsMissed70%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed76%Barge oddsEarned