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Red135
19917.1
25479.6
715741.2
Blue86
213539.5
228841.3
545828.7
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1411005015020013586

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+47Teleop
+59Endgame
+49Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
0Leave9
7Coral scored#1
37Coral points7
37Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +26
14Coral scored#9
52Coral points34
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
12Processor points12
20Net points12
32Algae points24
84Total teleop58
Reef
8L4#4
6L3#3
5L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#15
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +49
0Foul points10
135Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#2
79.60.8
67.568.3
Auto19.2
Teleop49.7
End10.7
red by 38.3
41.32.4
39.236.8
Auto5.7
Teleop33.2
End2.3
Second
7157
#17
41.20.5
42.342.8
Auto9.4
Teleop27.0
End4.9
red by 1.8
39.52.4
33.431.0
Auto13.5
Teleop24.4
End1.6
Third
199
#34
17.10.8
17.418.2
Auto4.1
Teleop12.2
End0.8
blue by 11.6
5458
#20
28.72.4
26.724.3
Auto3.8
Teleop22.4
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned75%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
16%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
68%Barge oddsEarned38%Barge oddsMissed