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Red66
325729.0
527420.0
912518.7
Blue92
876832.0
666221.2
911420.1
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions846220401001201406692

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+24
Endgame+26
Fouls+26
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave9
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +21
9Coral scored#14
33Coral points52
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
12Processor points6
8Net points16
20Algae points22
53Total teleop74
Reef
3L4#5
3L3#6
1L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +26
0Foul points0
66Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3257
#22
29.00.4
31.431.0
Auto3.0
Teleop22.9
End3.1
blue by 3.0
8768
#12
32.02.4
25.928.3
Auto6.0
Teleop24.1
End1.9
Second
5274
#31
20.00.4
17.016.6
Auto4.5
Teleop15.6
End-0.2
blue by 1.2
6662
#29
21.23.7
15.018.6
Auto3.0
Teleop17.6
End0.6
Third
9125
#32
18.70.7
24.323.6
Auto5.8
Teleop11.3
End1.6
blue by 1.4
9114
#19
20.12.4
15.718.0
Auto4.2
Teleop14.9
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsMissed61%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsMissed