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Red85
545828.7
666533.8
413523.1
Blue75
666221.2
167148.0
1021219.0
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73910204060801001201401608575

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+4
+8Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousBlue +18
9Leave6
0Coral scored#4
0Coral points21
9Total auto27
TeleoperatedRed +14
12Coral scored#8
44Coral points30
2Processor algae#2
1Net algae#1
12Processor points12
4Net points4
16Algae points16
60Total teleop46
Reef
6L4#3
3L3#5
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#15
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
2Foul points0
85Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.80.5
15.315.9
Auto5.1
Teleop18.7
End9.9
blue by 14.2
1671
#10
48.01.0
38.537.5
Auto11.6
Teleop29.8
End6.6
Second
5458
#20
28.70.5
28.228.7
Auto3.8
Teleop22.4
End2.5
red by 7.6
6662
#29
21.21.7
23.221.5
Auto3.0
Teleop17.6
End0.6
Third
4135
#30
23.10.5
23.023.5
Auto4.4
Teleop18.5
End0.2
red by 4.0
19.00.5
15.616.1
Auto4.4
Teleop13.5
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsMissed52%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsEarned57%Barge oddsMissed