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Red170
715741.2
207333.1
549933.6
Blue104
464318.0
912518.7
25479.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9487406080100120140160170104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+6
+16Endgame
+66Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave3
4Coral scored#5
21Coral points27
30Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +6
16Coral scored#14
56Coral points50
0Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
0Processor points12
8Net points8
8Algae points20
64Total teleop70
Reef
7L4#7
5L3#5
4L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#23
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +66
50Foul points0
170Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7157
#17
41.23.2
39.743.0
Auto9.4
Teleop27.0
End4.9
blue by 38.3
254
#2
79.61.8
46.748.5
Auto19.2
Teleop49.7
End10.7
Second
33.64.4
17.822.2
Auto7.1
Teleop23.6
End2.9
red by 14.9
9125
#32
18.71.8
21.122.9
Auto5.8
Teleop11.3
End1.6
Third
2073
#11
33.12.6
20.122.7
Auto10.8
Teleop19.6
End2.7
red by 15.0
4643
#27
18.01.8
17.319.1
Auto5.8
Teleop10.9
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
17%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
56%Barge oddsEarned45%Barge oddsMissed