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Red59
348239.8
452264.5
97237.2
Blue87
220434.8
19917.1
213539.5
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions117650501001502005987

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+2Auto
Teleop+26
Endgame+28
Fouls+28
AutonomousRed +2
9Leave6
3Coral scored#3
16Coral points17
25Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +28
6Coral scored#11
22Coral points40
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
6Processor points12
4Net points8
10Algae points20
32Total teleop60
Reef
4L4#5
2L3#2
1L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
11Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +28
0Foul points0
59Total score87

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.53.3
56.853.5
Auto13.2
Teleop48.0
End3.4
red by 25.0
39.52.3
27.730.1
Auto13.5
Teleop24.4
End1.6
Second
3482
#24
39.84.9
20.615.7
Auto8.7
Teleop30.5
End0.6
red by 5.0
2204
#16
34.82.3
18.721.0
Auto10.3
Teleop21.4
End3.1
Third
972
#21
37.22.9
25.622.6
Auto8.1
Teleop21.8
End7.2
red by 20.0
199
#34
17.12.3
19.722.0
Auto4.1
Teleop12.2
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned47%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
76%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsMissed