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Red71
940028.0
228841.3
527420.0
Blue92
359837.7
666221.2
545828.7
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions661010501507192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+1
Endgame+15
Fouls+21
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave3
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points13
6Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +9
14Coral scored#10
49Coral points36
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
59Total teleop50
Reef
5L4#3
3L3#4
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +14
0Cage & park14
0Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +21
6Foul points12
71Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.30.1
27.827.9
Auto5.7
Teleop33.2
End2.3
red by 3.6
3598
#18
37.70.5
36.235.7
Auto8.8
Teleop23.6
End5.3
Second
9400
#25
28.00.1
19.619.7
Auto2.6
Teleop23.9
End1.5
blue by 0.8
5458
#20
28.70.7
28.728.0
Auto3.8
Teleop22.4
End2.5
Third
5274
#31
20.00.1
16.516.5
Auto4.5
Teleop15.6
End-0.2
blue by 1.2
6662
#29
21.20.7
21.520.8
Auto3.0
Teleop17.6
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsMissed62%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed65%Barge oddsEarned