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Red57
666533.8
464318.0
97237.2
Blue112
207333.1
228841.3
698119.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9791608012014016057112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+63
Endgame+55
Fouls+55
AutonomousBlue +11
6Leave6
3Coral scored#5
13Coral points24
19Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +52
6Coral scored#17
20Coral points62
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
0Processor points6
4Net points8
4Algae points14
24Total teleop76
Reef
4L4#9
2L3#7
1L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
10Game pieces#25
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +55
0Foul points0
57Total score112

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
972
#21
37.22.2
35.533.3
Auto8.1
Teleop21.8
End7.2
blue by 4.1
41.32.7
36.839.5
Auto5.7
Teleop33.2
End2.3
Second
33.83.2
31.027.8
Auto5.1
Teleop18.7
End9.9
red by 0.7
2073
#11
33.11.9
25.927.8
Auto10.8
Teleop19.6
End2.7
Third
4643
#27
18.03.2
23.620.4
Auto5.8
Teleop10.9
End1.3
blue by 1.7
6981
#23
19.72.7
21.123.8
Auto3.7
Teleop15.0
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed17%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
93%Barge oddsEarned31%Barge oddsMissed