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Red83
912518.7
715741.2
348239.8
Blue119
413523.1
469841.2
318932.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1189940608014016018020083119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+20
Endgame+30
Fouls+36
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave0
2Coral scored#6
10Coral points30
16Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +6
11Coral scored#12
39Coral points43
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#5
12Processor points6
12Net points20
24Algae points26
63Total teleop69
Reef
5L4#5
4L3#4
2L2#6
2L1 · trough#3
18Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +36
0Foul points6
83Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7157
#17
41.21.4
43.942.5
Auto9.4
Teleop27.0
End4.9
Level
41.22.1
36.838.8
Auto12.7
Teleop23.3
End5.2
Second
3482
#24
39.81.8
37.535.7
Auto8.7
Teleop30.5
End0.6
red by 7.4
32.51.6
32.433.9
Auto5.9
Teleop23.9
End2.6
Third
9125
#32
18.71.8
22.320.4
Auto5.8
Teleop11.3
End1.6
blue by 4.4
4135
#30
23.12.1
20.622.7
Auto4.4
Teleop18.5
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsEarned