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Red72
325729.0
167148.0
713725.7
Blue183
25479.6
213539.5
876832.0
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1031455020072183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+42
Teleop+101
Endgame+111
Fouls+111
AutonomousBlue +42
9Leave0
0Coral scored#10
0Coral points51
9Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +59
13Coral scored#22
45Coral points80
1Processor algae#3
2Net algae#5
6Processor points18
8Net points20
14Algae points38
59Total teleop118
Reef
6L4#8
3L3#11
3L2#8
1L1 · trough#5
16Game pieces#40
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +111
0Foul points0
72Total score183

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1671
#10
48.02.9
41.238.2
Auto11.6
Teleop29.8
End6.6
blue by 31.6
254
#2
79.63.4
70.073.3
Auto19.2
Teleop49.7
End10.7
Second
3257
#22
29.02.9
29.126.2
Auto3.0
Teleop22.9
End3.1
blue by 10.5
39.53.4
30.734.1
Auto13.5
Teleop24.4
End1.6
Third
7137
#28
25.73.9
28.724.7
Auto5.4
Teleop19.9
End0.5
blue by 6.3
8768
#12
32.02.5
29.331.9
Auto6.0
Teleop24.1
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsMissed94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed17%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
65%Barge oddsMissed61%Barge oddsEarned