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Red129
911420.1
1021219.0
167883.9
Blue105
220434.8
228841.3
359837.7
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1271076080100120140160180129105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+36Teleop
+24Endgame
+24Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave0
4Coral scored#5
21Coral points23
30Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +29
18Coral scored#10
65Coral points36
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
89Total teleop60
Reef
7L4#6
7L3#6
4L2#2
4L1 · trough#1
27Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +24
6Foul points6
129Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
83.90.3
76.576.9
Auto20.0
Teleop54.3
End9.6
red by 42.6
41.30.6
39.538.8
Auto5.7
Teleop33.2
End2.3
Second
9114
#19
20.10.3
18.719.0
Auto4.2
Teleop14.9
End1.0
blue by 17.6
3598
#18
37.70.5
37.737.2
Auto8.8
Teleop23.6
End5.3
Third
19.00.4
22.823.3
Auto4.4
Teleop13.5
End1.2
blue by 15.8
2204
#16
34.80.6
29.028.4
Auto10.3
Teleop21.4
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
19%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
81%Barge oddsMissed56%Barge oddsEarned