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Red113
517135.1
541949.1
70124.0
Blue57
464318.0
666221.2
940028.0
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1166805010015011357

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+54Teleop
+68Endgame
+56Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave0
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points9
19Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +44
16Coral scored#7
56Coral points24
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#3
12Processor points0
12Net points12
24Algae points12
80Total teleop36
Reef
9L4#3
4L3#2
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#12
BargeRed +14
14Cage & park0
14Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +56
0Foul points12
113Total score57

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5419
#15
49.10.4
45.045.5
Auto7.3
Teleop35.4
End6.4
red by 21.1
9400
#25
28.02.4
29.927.5
Auto2.6
Teleop23.9
End1.5
Second
5171
#14
35.10.6
34.435.0
Auto8.2
Teleop19.1
End7.8
red by 13.9
6662
#29
21.22.4
18.316.0
Auto3.0
Teleop17.6
End0.6
Third
701
#26
24.00.6
24.425.0
Auto2.8
Teleop18.9
End2.3
red by 6.0
4643
#27
18.02.4
20.418.0
Auto5.8
Teleop10.9
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsEarned52%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
81%Barge oddsEarned22%Barge oddsMissed