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Red140
549933.6
452264.5
527420.0
Blue53
666533.8
19917.1
698119.7
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions124705010015020014053

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+95Teleop
+87Endgame
+87Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
6Leave6
5Coral scored#0
24Coral points0
30Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +71
18Coral scored#6
66Coral points21
3Processor algae#0
5Net algae#3
18Processor points0
20Net points12
38Algae points12
104Total teleop33
Reef
11L4#2
5L3#2
3L2#1
4L1 · trough#1
31Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +87
0Foul points0
140Total score53

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.52.2
55.257.4
Auto13.2
Teleop48.0
End3.4
red by 30.7
33.81.3
27.826.5
Auto5.1
Teleop18.7
End9.9
Second
33.63.0
33.836.8
Auto7.1
Teleop23.6
End2.9
red by 13.9
6981
#23
19.71.3
23.822.5
Auto3.7
Teleop15.0
End1.0
Third
5274
#31
20.02.2
17.719.9
Auto4.5
Teleop15.6
End-0.2
red by 2.8
199
#34
17.11.3
16.415.1
Auto4.1
Teleop12.2
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned65%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
12%Coral oddsEarned7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed40%Barge oddsEarned