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Red137
207333.1
97237.2
325729.0
Blue74
545828.7
752819.2
876832.0
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions958020406012014016018013774

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+61Teleop
+59Endgame
+63Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
3Leave9
5Coral scored#0
27Coral points0
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +40
19Coral scored#9
69Coral points31
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#5
12Processor points6
16Net points20
28Algae points26
97Total teleop57
Reef
9L4#4
5L3#2
7L2#1
3L1 · trough#2
30Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +63
6Foul points2
137Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
972
#21
37.22.9
33.336.2
Auto8.1
Teleop21.8
End7.2
red by 5.1
8768
#12
32.00.3
31.931.6
Auto6.0
Teleop24.1
End1.9
Second
2073
#11
33.12.9
27.830.7
Auto10.8
Teleop19.6
End2.7
red by 4.3
5458
#20
28.70.4
25.324.9
Auto3.8
Teleop22.4
End2.5
Third
3257
#22
29.02.9
26.229.1
Auto3.0
Teleop22.9
End3.1
red by 9.8
7528
#33
19.20.4
18.918.6
Auto3.6
Teleop13.2
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsEarned70%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
85%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsMissed