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Red160
666221.2
25479.6
220434.8
Blue204
167883.9
348239.8
228841.3
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions123166100150200250160204

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+42
Endgame+44
Fouls+44
Autonomouslevel
0Leave9
6Coral scored#4
30Coral points21
30Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +42
24Coral scored#32
88Coral points114
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#8
12Processor points12
16Net points32
28Algae points44
116Total teleop158
Reef
13L4#16
5L3#7
7L2#9
5L1 · trough#4
36Game pieces#46
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +44
0Foul points0
160Total score204

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#2
79.62.5
73.375.9
Auto19.2
Teleop49.7
End10.7
blue by 4.3
83.92.8
76.979.6
Auto20.0
Teleop54.3
End9.6
Second
2204
#16
34.82.5
28.430.9
Auto10.3
Teleop21.4
End3.1
blue by 6.5
41.33.4
38.842.2
Auto5.7
Teleop33.2
End2.3
Third
6662
#29
21.22.5
16.018.5
Auto3.0
Teleop17.6
End0.6
blue by 18.7
3482
#24
39.83.4
35.739.1
Auto8.7
Teleop30.5
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsEarned45%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
70%Barge oddsEarned58%Barge oddsEarned