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Red109
359837.7
911420.1
940028.0
Blue89
97237.2
912518.7
413523.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8785406010012014010989

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+4Teleop
+16Endgame
+20Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave9
3Coral scored#3
14Coral points14
23Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +4
13Coral scored#13
48Coral points48
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
66Total teleop62
Reef
7L4#7
4L3#5
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#19
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +20
4Foul points0
109Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3598
#18
37.71.4
37.238.6
Auto8.8
Teleop23.6
End5.3
red by 0.5
972
#21
37.20.6
36.236.9
Auto8.1
Teleop21.8
End7.2
Second
9400
#25
28.01.7
27.529.3
Auto2.6
Teleop23.9
End1.5
red by 4.9
4135
#30
23.10.8
22.723.4
Auto4.4
Teleop18.5
End0.2
Third
9114
#19
20.11.4
19.020.5
Auto4.2
Teleop14.9
End1.0
red by 1.4
9125
#32
18.70.8
20.421.2
Auto5.8
Teleop11.3
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsEarned75%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsEarned54%Barge oddsMissed