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Red82
1021219.0
549933.6
228841.3
Blue79
752819.2
325729.0
348239.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions109914060801001201401601808279

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+5Teleop
+3Endgame
+3Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave3
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points6
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +2
13Coral scored#14
48Coral points50
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
62Total teleop64
Reef
5L4#5
3L3#5
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +3
0Foul points0
82Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.31.3
42.240.9
Auto5.7
Teleop33.2
End2.3
red by 1.5
3482
#24
39.80.6
39.138.5
Auto8.7
Teleop30.5
End0.6
Second
33.61.3
34.533.2
Auto7.1
Teleop23.6
End2.9
red by 4.6
3257
#22
29.00.5
29.128.6
Auto3.0
Teleop22.9
End3.1
Third
19.01.5
23.321.8
Auto4.4
Teleop13.5
End1.2
blue by 0.2
7528
#33
19.20.6
18.617.9
Auto3.6
Teleop13.2
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsEarned66%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed19%Barge oddsMissed