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Red65
752819.2
715741.2
713725.7
Blue76
911420.1
318932.5
464318.0
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88700204060801001201401606576

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
Teleop+11
Endgame+9
Fouls+11
AutonomousBlue +1
3Leave3
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points7
9Total auto10
TeleoperatedBlue +10
10Coral scored#13
36Coral points46
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
50Total teleop60
Reef
4L4#6
2L3#2
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#17
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +11
0Foul points2
65Total score76

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7157
#17
41.21.0
43.042.0
Auto9.4
Teleop27.0
End4.9
red by 8.8
32.50.6
29.129.7
Auto5.9
Teleop23.9
End2.6
Second
7137
#28
25.71.4
14.613.2
Auto5.4
Teleop19.9
End0.5
red by 5.6
9114
#19
20.10.6
17.117.7
Auto4.2
Teleop14.9
End1.0
Third
7528
#33
19.21.4
20.318.9
Auto3.6
Teleop13.2
End2.4
red by 1.2
4643
#27
18.01.0
19.120.0
Auto5.8
Teleop10.9
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsMissed72%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsMissed