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Red191
207333.1
1021219.0
452264.5
Blue66
19917.1
549933.6
167148.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103875015019166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+33Teleop
+33Endgame
+125Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave3
4Coral scored#5
20Coral points24
20Total auto27
TeleoperatedRed +40
15Coral scored#8
53Coral points27
1Processor algae#0
4Net algae#2
6Processor points0
16Net points8
22Algae points8
75Total teleop35
Reef
8L4#4
5L3#3
2L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
24Game pieces#15
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +125
92Foul points0
191Total score66

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.50.4
53.554.0
Auto13.2
Teleop48.0
End3.4
red by 16.5
1671
#10
48.01.0
37.536.5
Auto11.6
Teleop29.8
End6.6
Second
2073
#11
33.10.4
22.723.1
Auto10.8
Teleop19.6
End2.7
blue by 0.5
33.61.7
22.220.4
Auto7.1
Teleop23.6
End2.9
Third
19.00.7
16.116.8
Auto4.4
Teleop13.5
End1.2
red by 1.9
199
#34
17.11.7
22.020.3
Auto4.1
Teleop12.2
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsMissed55%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsEarned52%Barge oddsMissed