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Red98
220434.8
348239.8
413523.1
Blue111
469841.2
325729.0
666533.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions688205010015098111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+1
Endgame+13
Fouls+13
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave3
2Coral scored#4
12Coral points19
15Total auto22
TeleoperatedRed +6
14Coral scored#16
51Coral points57
1Processor algae#1
6Net algae#3
6Processor points6
24Net points12
30Algae points18
81Total teleop75
Reef
4L4#5
6L3#7
4L2#6
2L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +13
0Foul points0
98Total score111

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3482
#24
39.83.3
15.719.0
Auto8.7
Teleop30.5
End0.6
blue by 1.4
41.23.4
29.533.0
Auto12.7
Teleop23.3
End5.2
Second
2204
#16
34.83.3
21.024.3
Auto10.3
Teleop21.4
End3.1
red by 1.0
33.83.4
15.919.3
Auto5.1
Teleop18.7
End9.9
Third
4135
#30
23.13.3
23.526.9
Auto4.4
Teleop18.5
End0.2
blue by 5.9
3257
#22
29.02.1
25.627.6
Auto3.0
Teleop22.9
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsEarned33%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed55%Barge oddsEarned