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Red223
167883.9
713725.7
25479.6
Blue205
167148.0
452264.5
220434.8
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20813150100150250300223205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+6Teleop
+18Endgame
+18Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave6
10Coral scored#9
49Coral points45
58Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +1
30Coral scored#28
107Coral points100
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#7
12Processor points12
20Net points28
32Algae points40
139Total teleop140
Reef
14L4#9
13L3#16
7L2#5
6L1 · trough#7
47Game pieces#46
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +18
0Foul points0
223Total score205

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
83.90.8
82.383.1
Auto20.0
Teleop54.3
End9.6
red by 19.4
64.51.6
58.560.1
Auto13.2
Teleop48.0
End3.4
Second
254
#2
79.60.8
78.078.8
Auto19.2
Teleop49.7
End10.7
red by 31.6
1671
#10
48.01.6
42.043.6
Auto11.6
Teleop29.8
End6.6
Third
7137
#28
25.70.8
24.124.9
Auto5.4
Teleop19.9
End0.5
blue by 9.1
2204
#16
34.81.6
28.830.4
Auto10.3
Teleop21.4
End3.1