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Red126
318932.5
348239.8
359837.7
Blue99
325729.0
549933.6
228841.3
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1141129010012013014012699

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+19Auto
+11Teleop
+9Endgame
+27Fouls
AutonomousRed +19
6Leave6
6Coral scored#2
29Coral points10
35Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +8
14Coral scored#16
49Coral points59
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
12Processor points6
8Net points12
20Algae points18
69Total teleop77
Reef
8L4#4
6L3#7
3L2#5
3L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +27
18Foul points0
126Total score99

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3482
#24
39.80.0
39.239.2
Auto8.7
Teleop30.5
End0.6
blue by 1.5
41.30.1
41.441.3
Auto5.7
Teleop33.2
End2.3
Second
3598
#18
37.70.0
37.137.1
Auto8.8
Teleop23.6
End5.3
red by 4.1
33.60.1
33.733.6
Auto7.1
Teleop23.6
End2.9
Third
32.50.0
31.931.9
Auto5.9
Teleop23.9
End2.6
red by 3.4
3257
#22
29.00.1
29.129.0
Auto3.0
Teleop22.9
End3.1