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Red94
97237.2
517135.1
876832.0
Blue129
213539.5
545828.7
207333.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions113101608012014016018094129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+33
Endgame+23
Fouls+35
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave9
3Coral scored#4
17Coral points21
23Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +26
13Coral scored#15
47Coral points55
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#4
6Processor points12
4Net points16
10Algae points28
57Total teleop83
Reef
4L4#7
3L3#5
5L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
18Game pieces#25
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +35
0Foul points12
94Total score129

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
972
#21
37.20.2
37.437.2
Auto8.1
Teleop21.8
End7.2
blue by 2.3
39.50.5
37.638.1
Auto13.5
Teleop24.4
End1.6
Second
5171
#14
35.10.2
35.335.1
Auto8.2
Teleop19.1
End7.8
red by 2.0
2073
#11
33.10.5
31.331.7
Auto10.8
Teleop19.6
End2.7
Third
8768
#12
32.00.2
32.232.0
Auto6.0
Teleop24.1
End1.9
red by 3.3
5458
#20
28.70.5
26.927.4
Auto3.8
Teleop22.4
End2.5