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Red149
715741.2
469841.2
940028.0
Blue129
325729.0
549933.6
228841.3
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1181116080100140160149129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+2Auto
Teleop+8
+2Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousRed +2
0Leave0
4Coral scored#4
22Coral points20
22Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +10
19Coral scored#24
67Coral points85
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
12Processor points12
16Net points8
28Algae points20
95Total teleop105
Reef
10L4#12
6L3#6
4L2#7
3L1 · trough#3
29Game pieces#32
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +20
18Foul points0
149Total score129

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7157
#17
41.20.4
41.441.8
Auto9.4
Teleop27.0
End4.9
blue by 0.1
41.30.5
40.941.4
Auto5.7
Teleop33.2
End2.3
Second
41.20.4
41.441.7
Auto12.7
Teleop23.3
End5.2
red by 7.6
33.60.5
33.233.7
Auto7.1
Teleop23.6
End2.9
Third
9400
#25
28.00.4
28.228.5
Auto2.6
Teleop23.9
End1.5
blue by 1.0
3257
#22
29.00.5
28.629.1
Auto3.0
Teleop22.9
End3.1