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Red99
210242.4
366946.1
396511.9
Blue117
3255B42.4
97307.0
312866.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions106123020030040099117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+6
Endgame+18
Fouls+18
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave3
2Coral scored#3
11Coral points13
20Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +10
13Coral scored#16
47Coral points57
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
65Total teleop75
Reef
4L4#9
5L3#6
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +18
0Foul points0
99Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.10.1
46.546.4
Auto6.9
Teleop30.7
End8.5
blue by 19.8
66.00.1
65.265.3
Auto12.1
Teleop41.5
End12.3
Second
42.40.1
42.842.7
Auto8.8
Teleop26.1
End7.5
Level
42.40.1
41.341.4
Auto8.3
Teleop29.9
End4.1
Third
3965
#18
11.90.1
12.312.3
Auto2.2
Teleop7.5
End2.2
red by 5.0
9730
#16
7.00.1
6.26.3
Auto1.9
Teleop4.0
End1.1