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Red26
396511.9
95739.6
97307.0
Blue137
325567.8
254345.6
162214.6
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1917005010015020025026137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+85
Endgame+105
Fouls+111
AutonomousBlue +13
3Leave6
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points13
6Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +72
3Coral scored#14
10Coral points52
0Processor algae#3
1Net algae#4
0Processor points18
4Net points16
4Algae points34
14Total teleop86
Reef
1L4#7
1L3#4
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
5Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +111
0Foul points6
26Total score137

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3965
#18
11.90.4
13.012.5
Auto2.2
Teleop7.5
End2.2
blue by 55.8
67.80.3
68.768.5
Auto16.1
Teleop42.7
End9.0
Second
9573
#14
9.60.4
7.46.9
Auto2.8
Teleop6.3
End0.4
blue by 36.0
45.60.3
43.943.6
Auto3.1
Teleop32.8
End9.7
Third
9730
#16
7.00.4
7.06.5
Auto1.9
Teleop4.0
End1.1
blue by 7.7
1622
#15
14.60.3
16.516.2
Auto4.9
Teleop7.2
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsMissed89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed89%Barge oddsEarned