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Red56
265811.1
210242.4
852120.4
Blue84
298416.1
945236.5
441946.1
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions711140501001502005684

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+30
Endgame+28
Fouls+28
AutonomousBlue +13
6Leave6
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points13
6Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +17
6Coral scored#9
22Coral points31
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#5
6Processor points6
12Net points20
18Algae points26
40Total teleop57
Reef
2L4#3
2L3#4
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#18
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +28
6Foul points6
56Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.41.7
43.241.5
Auto8.8
Teleop26.1
End7.5
blue by 3.7
46.12.0
48.446.4
Auto6.8
Teleop36.5
End2.8
Second
20.41.7
17.015.3
Auto2.8
Teleop17.8
End-0.2
blue by 16.1
36.52.0
33.231.2
Auto5.8
Teleop27.2
End3.4
Third
2658
#17
11.11.7
9.27.5
Auto1.3
Teleop8.9
End0.9
blue by 5.1
2984
#10
16.12.0
17.215.2
Auto4.8
Teleop10.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsMissed68%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed22%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsMissed