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Red120
3255B42.4
312866.0
889132.0
Blue109
366946.1
547429.0
551426.7
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15588050200250300120109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+13Teleop
+17Endgame
+11Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave0
3Coral scored#5
14Coral points23
23Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +13
16Coral scored#13
59Coral points48
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
12Processor points6
12Net points16
24Algae points22
83Total teleop70
Reef
7L4#8
5L3#4
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#4
24Game pieces#23
BargeRed +4
14Cage & park10
14Total endgame10
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +11
0Foul points6
120Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.00.8
64.964.2
Auto12.1
Teleop41.5
End12.3
red by 19.8
46.10.8
42.143.0
Auto6.9
Teleop30.7
End8.5
Second
42.41.3
34.032.7
Auto8.3
Teleop29.9
End4.1
red by 13.4
5474
#13
29.00.8
24.725.5
Auto6.1
Teleop21.1
End1.9
Third
8891
#11
32.00.8
32.431.7
Auto5.1
Teleop24.4
End2.5
red by 5.4
5514
#12
26.70.8
23.624.5
Auto6.4
Teleop17.9
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
45%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
73%Barge oddsEarned41%Barge oddsMissed