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Red68
97307.0
551426.7
889132.0
Blue116
210242.4
396511.9
254345.6
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6611705010015020068116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+36
Endgame+48
Fouls+48
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave0
1Coral scored#4
6Coral points19
9Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +26
10Coral scored#19
37Coral points67
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
55Total teleop81
Reef
4L4#9
2L3#6
3L2#6
2L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +48
0Foul points0
68Total score116

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8891
#11
32.00.2
31.731.5
Auto5.1
Teleop24.4
End2.5
blue by 13.5
45.60.6
43.644.3
Auto3.1
Teleop32.8
End9.7
Second
5514
#12
26.70.2
24.524.3
Auto6.4
Teleop17.9
End2.3
blue by 15.7
42.40.6
41.542.1
Auto8.8
Teleop26.1
End7.5
Third
9730
#16
7.00.2
6.56.4
Auto1.9
Teleop4.0
End1.1
blue by 5.0
3965
#18
11.90.6
12.513.1
Auto2.2
Teleop7.5
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsMissed72%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed91%Barge oddsEarned