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Red178
325567.8
312866.0
945236.5
Blue56
95739.6
162214.6
852120.4
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2032305010015025030035017856

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+94Teleop
+114Endgame
+122Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
3Leave6
7Coral scored#1
34Coral points3
37Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +66
20Coral scored#8
71Coral points27
4Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
24Processor points6
12Net points8
36Algae points14
107Total teleop41
Reef
11L4#3
8L3#3
4L2#2
4L1 · trough#1
34Game pieces#12
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +122
8Foul points0
178Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.80.0
68.568.5
Auto16.1
Teleop42.7
End9.0
red by 47.4
20.40.8
15.316.1
Auto2.8
Teleop17.8
End-0.2
Second
66.00.0
64.264.2
Auto12.1
Teleop41.5
End12.3
red by 51.3
1622
#15
14.60.8
16.217.0
Auto4.9
Teleop7.2
End2.5
Third
36.50.0
31.231.2
Auto5.8
Teleop27.2
End3.4
red by 26.9
9573
#14
9.60.8
6.97.8
Auto2.8
Teleop6.3
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned39%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
69%Coral oddsEarned2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
89%Barge oddsEarned15%Barge oddsMissed