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Red137
441946.1
210242.4
366946.1
Blue68
889132.0
396511.9
298416.1
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15455010020025013768

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+57Teleop
+69Endgame
+69Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave6
4Coral scored#2
19Coral points10
19Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +54
19Coral scored#11
70Coral points38
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#1
12Processor points6
20Net points4
32Algae points10
102Total teleop48
Reef
13L4#4
4L3#3
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
30Game pieces#15
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +69
0Foul points0
137Total score68

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.10.9
47.446.5
Auto6.8
Teleop36.5
End2.8
red by 14.1
8891
#11
32.00.6
31.530.9
Auto5.1
Teleop24.4
End2.5
Second
46.10.9
44.043.1
Auto6.9
Teleop30.7
End8.5
red by 30.0
2984
#10
16.10.6
16.215.6
Auto4.8
Teleop10.0
End1.4
Third
42.40.9
42.141.3
Auto8.8
Teleop26.1
End7.5
red by 30.5
3965
#18
11.90.6
13.112.5
Auto2.2
Teleop7.5
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned26%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
79%Barge oddsEarned28%Barge oddsMissed