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Red76
97307.0
325567.8
162214.6
Blue134
265811.1
551426.7
312866.0
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101110020030040050060076134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+34
Endgame+48
Fouls+58
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave6
4Coral scored#3
20Coral points17
26Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +37
7Coral scored#14
24Coral points51
2Processor algae#3
2Net algae#3
12Processor points18
8Net points12
20Algae points30
44Total teleop81
Reef
5L4#7
2L3#4
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +14
6Cage & park20
6Total endgame20
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +58
0Foul points10
76Total score134

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.81.1
68.567.4
Auto16.1
Teleop42.7
End9.0
red by 1.8
66.01.8
64.266.0
Auto12.1
Teleop41.5
End12.3
Second
1622
#15
14.61.1
17.016.0
Auto4.9
Teleop7.2
End2.5
blue by 12.0
5514
#12
26.71.8
24.326.1
Auto6.4
Teleop17.9
End2.3
Third
9730
#16
7.01.1
6.45.3
Auto1.9
Teleop4.0
End1.1
blue by 4.1
2658
#17
11.11.8
8.510.3
Auto1.3
Teleop8.9
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned72%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed24%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed48%Barge oddsEarned