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Red101
210242.4
298416.1
551426.7
Blue89
162214.6
312866.0
396511.9
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9311105015020025010189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+2
+14Teleop
+14Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousBlue +2
0Leave6
4Coral scored#3
18Coral points14
18Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +16
12Coral scored#8
43Coral points27
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
61Total teleop45
Reef
6L4#5
4L3#3
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#15
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
6Foul points8
101Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.40.8
41.342.1
Auto8.8
Teleop26.1
End7.5
blue by 23.6
66.00.9
66.065.1
Auto12.1
Teleop41.5
End12.3
Second
5514
#12
26.70.8
26.126.9
Auto6.4
Teleop17.9
End2.3
red by 12.0
1622
#15
14.60.9
16.015.1
Auto4.9
Teleop7.2
End2.5
Third
2984
#10
16.10.8
15.616.4
Auto4.8
Teleop10.0
End1.4
red by 4.2
3965
#18
11.90.9
12.511.6
Auto2.2
Teleop7.5
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned72%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
16%Coral oddsMissed17%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsEarned81%Barge oddsEarned