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Red140
852120.4
889132.0
325567.8
Blue75
3255B42.4
265811.1
95739.6
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13952010015020025014075

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+53Teleop
+65Endgame
+65Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
3Leave3
5Coral scored#3
26Coral points13
29Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +40
21Coral scored#10
77Coral points37
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
95Total teleop55
Reef
12L4#3
6L3#5
4L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
30Game pieces#17
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +65
0Foul points0
140Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.81.5
67.468.9
Auto16.1
Teleop42.7
End9.0
red by 25.4
42.41.7
39.441.1
Auto8.3
Teleop29.9
End4.1
Second
8891
#11
32.01.5
30.932.4
Auto5.1
Teleop24.4
End2.5
red by 21.0
2658
#17
11.11.1
10.311.4
Auto1.3
Teleop8.9
End0.9
Third
20.41.5
19.220.7
Auto2.8
Teleop17.8
End-0.2
red by 10.8
9573
#14
9.61.1
8.79.8
Auto2.8
Teleop6.3
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsEarned43%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsEarned21%Barge oddsMissed