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Red151
366946.1
945236.5
547429.0
Blue109
97307.0
254345.6
441946.1
59%Model gave it41%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11910950100150200151109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+28Teleop
+36Endgame
+42Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave3
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points6
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +21
23Coral scored#18
81Coral points64
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
12Processor points12
12Net points8
24Algae points20
105Total teleop84
Reef
12L4#6
5L3#7
3L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
29Game pieces#23
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +42
6Foul points0
151Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.12.7
43.145.8
Auto6.9
Teleop30.7
End8.5
Level
46.10.8
46.547.3
Auto6.8
Teleop36.5
End2.8
Second
36.52.7
34.236.9
Auto5.8
Teleop27.2
End3.4
blue by 9.1
45.60.8
45.246.0
Auto3.1
Teleop32.8
End9.7
Third
5474
#13
29.02.7
27.530.1
Auto6.1
Teleop21.1
End1.9
red by 22.0
9730
#16
7.00.8
5.36.1
Auto1.9
Teleop4.0
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned67%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
63%Barge oddsEarned55%Barge oddsEarned