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Red131
210242.4
396511.9
366946.1
Blue0
999712.5
999612.5
999812.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1175301001502002501310

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+23Auto
+105Teleop
+131Endgame
+131Fouls
AutonomousRed +23
3Leave0
4Coral scored#0
20Coral points0
23Total auto0
TeleoperatedRed +82
17Coral scored#0
60Coral points0
1Processor algae#0
4Net algae#0
6Processor points0
16Net points0
22Algae points0
82Total teleop0
Reef
5L4#0
8L3#0
4L2#0
4L1 · trough#0
26Game pieces#0
BargeRed +26
26Cage & park0
26Total endgame0
Penalties & totalRed +131
0Foul points0
131Total score0

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.10.7
45.846.5
Auto6.9
Teleop30.7
End8.5
red by 33.6
9996
Unranked
12.51.8
15.914.1
Auto2.1
Teleop9.1
End1.1
Second
42.40.7
42.142.8
Auto8.8
Teleop26.1
End7.5
red by 29.8
9997
Unranked
12.51.8
15.914.1
Auto2.1
Teleop9.1
End1.1
Third
3965
#18
11.90.7
11.612.3
Auto2.2
Teleop7.5
End2.2
blue by 0.6
9998
Unranked
12.51.8
15.914.1
Auto2.1
Teleop9.1
End1.1