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Red105
945236.5
254345.6
162214.6
Blue65
852120.4
889132.0
265811.1
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1177105010015020010565

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+34Teleop
+40Endgame
+40Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave0
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points9
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +27
13Coral scored#11
47Coral points40
4Processor algae#2
3Net algae#1
24Processor points12
12Net points4
36Algae points16
83Total teleop56
Reef
6L4#4
3L3#3
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#16
BargeRed +6
6Cage & park0
6Total endgame0
Penalties & totalRed +40
0Foul points0
105Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.60.0
46.046.0
Auto3.1
Teleop32.8
End9.7
red by 13.5
8891
#11
32.00.1
32.432.3
Auto5.1
Teleop24.4
End2.5
Second
36.50.0
36.936.9
Auto5.8
Teleop27.2
End3.4
red by 16.1
20.40.1
20.720.6
Auto2.8
Teleop17.8
End-0.2
Third
1622
#15
14.60.0
15.115.1
Auto4.9
Teleop7.2
End2.5
red by 3.6
2658
#17
11.10.1
11.411.3
Auto1.3
Teleop8.9
End0.9