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Red112
396511.9
551426.7
441946.1
Blue77
945236.5
265811.1
889132.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10699020030040050060070011277

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+27Teleop
+35Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave6
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +24
14Coral scored#14
51Coral points51
3Processor algae#1
6Net algae#3
18Processor points6
24Net points12
42Algae points18
93Total teleop69
Reef
6L4#7
2L3#3
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#18
BargeRed +8
10Cage & park2
10Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +35
0Foul points0
112Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.10.7
49.950.5
Auto6.8
Teleop36.5
End2.8
red by 9.7
36.51.2
37.236.0
Auto5.8
Teleop27.2
End3.4
Second
5514
#12
26.70.7
28.228.9
Auto6.4
Teleop17.9
End2.3
blue by 5.4
8891
#11
32.01.2
35.133.9
Auto5.1
Teleop24.4
End2.5
Third
3965
#18
11.90.9
18.018.9
Auto2.2
Teleop7.5
End2.2
red by 0.9
2658
#17
11.11.2
17.316.2
Auto1.3
Teleop8.9
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsMissed57%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
58%Barge oddsMissed51%Barge oddsMissed