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Red158
298416.1
254345.6
312866.0
Blue207
325567.8
3255B42.4
210242.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions160171050100200250300350158207

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+49
Endgame+49
Fouls+49
AutonomousBlue +21
0Leave0
4Coral scored#8
19Coral points40
19Total auto40
TeleoperatedBlue +28
17Coral scored#26
61Coral points95
4Processor algae#5
7Net algae#4
24Processor points30
28Net points16
52Algae points46
113Total teleop141
Reef
8L4#14
5L3#9
4L2#6
4L1 · trough#5
32Game pieces#43
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +49
0Foul points0
158Total score207

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.00.7
69.769.0
Auto12.1
Teleop41.5
End12.3
blue by 1.8
67.82.1
71.373.4
Auto16.1
Teleop42.7
End9.0
Second
45.60.7
51.650.9
Auto3.1
Teleop32.8
End9.7
red by 3.2
42.43.4
38.341.8
Auto8.3
Teleop29.9
End4.1
Third
2984
#10
16.10.9
21.320.5
Auto4.8
Teleop10.0
End1.4
blue by 26.2
42.42.1
42.444.5
Auto8.8
Teleop26.1
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
26%Coral oddsEarned33%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
96%Barge oddsEarned80%Barge oddsEarned