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Red79
97307.0
265811.1
366946.1
Blue52
396511.9
547429.0
852120.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83780501001502002507952

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+17Teleop
+21Endgame
+27Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave0
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points13
6Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +24
14Coral scored#9
49Coral points31
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
6Processor points0
8Net points8
14Algae points8
63Total teleop39
Reef
6L4#5
5L3#3
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#14
BargeRed +4
4Cage & park0
4Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +27
6Foul points0
79Total score52

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.10.2
44.544.7
Auto6.9
Teleop30.7
End8.5
red by 17.1
5474
#13
29.01.2
27.125.9
Auto6.1
Teleop21.1
End1.9
Second
2658
#17
11.10.2
16.216.3
Auto1.3
Teleop8.9
End0.9
blue by 9.3
20.41.0
21.020.0
Auto2.8
Teleop17.8
End-0.2
Third
9730
#16
7.00.2
9.49.6
Auto1.9
Teleop4.0
End1.1
blue by 5.0
3965
#18
11.91.2
18.917.7
Auto2.2
Teleop7.5
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsMissed30%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsMissed40%Barge oddsMissed