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Red54
3255B42.4
254345.6
551426.7
Blue104
852120.4
441946.1
312866.0
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions138166010020030040054104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+9
Teleop+50
Endgame+50
Fouls+50
AutonomousBlue +9
3Leave9
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
3Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +41
10Coral scored#17
37Coral points60
0Processor algae#3
2Net algae#2
0Processor points18
8Net points8
8Algae points26
45Total teleop86
Reef
2L4#8
3L3#3
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
12Game pieces#23
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +50
0Foul points0
54Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.65.1
50.945.8
Auto3.1
Teleop32.8
End9.7
blue by 20.4
66.02.9
69.066.1
Auto12.1
Teleop41.5
End12.3
Second
42.48.5
41.833.3
Auto8.3
Teleop29.9
End4.1
blue by 3.7
46.12.9
50.948.0
Auto6.8
Teleop36.5
End2.8
Third
5514
#12
26.75.1
28.823.7
Auto6.4
Teleop17.9
End2.3
red by 6.3
20.42.9
20.017.1
Auto2.8
Teleop17.8
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsMissed70%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
16%Coral oddsMissed44%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
81%Barge oddsMissed76%Barge oddsMissed