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Red86
945236.5
210242.4
95739.6
Blue87
889132.0
162214.6
366946.1
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101111204060801201401601808687

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+2Auto
Teleop+3
Endgame+1
Fouls+1
AutonomousRed +2
0Leave3
2Coral scored#1
12Coral points7
12Total auto10
TeleoperatedBlue +5
12Coral scored#10
44Coral points35
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
6Processor points12
8Net points16
14Algae points28
58Total teleop63
Reef
4L4#5
6L3#2
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#17
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +1
0Foul points0
86Total score87

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.40.8
44.543.7
Auto8.8
Teleop26.1
End7.5
blue by 3.7
46.11.4
44.743.3
Auto6.9
Teleop30.7
End8.5
Second
36.50.8
35.935.1
Auto5.8
Teleop27.2
End3.4
red by 4.4
8891
#11
32.01.4
34.232.9
Auto5.1
Teleop24.4
End2.5
Third
9573
#14
9.60.9
9.58.6
Auto2.8
Teleop6.3
End0.4
blue by 5.1
1622
#15
14.61.4
20.419.0
Auto4.9
Teleop7.2
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned75%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
52%Barge oddsEarned64%Barge oddsEarned