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Red102
3255B42.4
396511.9
441946.1
Blue115
852120.4
325567.8
551426.7
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100125050150200250300350400102115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+7
Endgame+9
Fouls+13
AutonomousBlue +6
9Leave6
1Coral scored#3
7Coral points16
16Total auto22
TeleoperatedBlue +1
18Coral scored#16
66Coral points59
0Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
0Processor points12
12Net points8
12Algae points20
78Total teleop79
Reef
5L4#7
5L3#6
5L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +2
6Cage & park8
6Total endgame8
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +13
2Foul points6
102Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.10.4
48.048.4
Auto6.8
Teleop36.5
End2.8
blue by 21.7
67.80.0
68.868.7
Auto16.1
Teleop42.7
End9.0
Second
42.40.7
33.334.0
Auto8.3
Teleop29.9
End4.1
red by 15.7
5514
#12
26.70.0
23.723.6
Auto6.4
Teleop17.9
End2.3
Third
3965
#18
11.90.4
12.513.0
Auto2.2
Teleop7.5
End2.2
blue by 8.4
20.40.0
17.117.0
Auto2.8
Teleop17.8
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsMissed78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
17%Coral oddsMissed19%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed28%Barge oddsMissed