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Red100
95739.6
312866.0
366946.1
Blue95
547429.0
210242.4
889132.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13810705020025030035040010095

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+15
+5Endgame
+5Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave0
3Coral scored#5
13Coral points23
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +8
11Coral scored#12
38Coral points44
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
12Processor points6
8Net points16
20Algae points22
58Total teleop66
Reef
4L4#5
5L3#5
2L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
18Game pieces#22
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +5
0Foul points0
100Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.01.2
66.164.9
Auto12.1
Teleop41.5
End12.3
red by 23.6
42.40.4
43.743.2
Auto8.8
Teleop26.1
End7.5
Second
46.11.2
43.342.1
Auto6.9
Teleop30.7
End8.5
red by 14.1
8891
#11
32.00.4
32.932.4
Auto5.1
Teleop24.4
End2.5
Third
9573
#14
9.61.2
8.67.4
Auto2.8
Teleop6.3
End0.4
blue by 19.4
5474
#13
29.00.4
25.124.7
Auto6.1
Teleop21.1
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned65%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
21%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
83%Barge oddsEarned76%Barge oddsMissed