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Red107
210242.4
366946.1
396511.9
Blue102
325567.8
547429.0
441946.1
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99163050150200250107102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+17
+5Endgame
+5Fouls
AutonomousBlue +24
3Leave9
1Coral scored#5
6Coral points24
9Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +7
16Coral scored#14
58Coral points51
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
72Total teleop65
Reef
7L4#7
3L3#5
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
20Game pieces#22
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +5
0Foul points0
107Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.10.1
46.446.5
Auto6.9
Teleop30.7
End8.5
blue by 21.7
67.81.0
69.368.3
Auto16.1
Teleop42.7
End9.0
Second
42.40.1
42.642.8
Auto8.8
Teleop26.1
End7.5
blue by 3.7
46.11.0
47.646.6
Auto6.8
Teleop36.5
End2.8
Third
3965
#18
11.90.1
12.212.3
Auto2.2
Teleop7.5
End2.2
blue by 17.1
5474
#13
29.01.0
30.529.5
Auto6.1
Teleop21.1
End1.9